Date: 2012-11-06 06:18 pm (UTC)
Причем ерунду какую-то объясняют.
“Obama’s at around 70 percent now. What that’s really saying is that if the election were held 10 times, seven out of 10 times Obama would win. The other three times, he’d lose. So if he loses tomorrow, it doesn’t say that InTrade got it wrong, it just kind of says that one of those three times, something different happened.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/83395.html#ixzz2BT3XM12m
У них же биржа, 70% -- это то, что соответствует спросу и предложению на данный момент. Как сам intrade может "get it wrong"?

Букмекерская контора может, они своими деньгами рискуют. А биржа же просто matches игроков.
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